2012 Presidential Election Predictions.wmv
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I make predictions about the 2012 presidential election between President Barack Obama(D) and the likely republican candidate Mitt Romney.
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good points. North Carolina and Indiana can be counted for GOP. However, NC demographics have recently changed but if GOP plays safe, they can win it. Ohio is critical for GOP because without Ohio, GOP will struggle big time. Latino vote turnout will determine outcome of Colorado and Nevada. Florida is GOP advantage now.
GOP should focus their energy to win Ohio, thats the most crucial state. If GOP wins Ohio, NC, Florida and Virginia, its big GOP advantage.
@182pinkerton Good points. I predicted Obama will lose Nevada because Reed had such a hard time getting re-elected and in a state with such high unemployment the incumbent usually loses. And Nevada had demonstrated itself to be a swing state. The point about New Hampshire is probably more likely. Although i do think Obama is a much better campaigner than Gore was. But yes New Hampshire could possibly swing.
Obama won Nevada by 12% last time, thats more than he won Pensylvania by (10%) so i could toataly see him winning it again (even though it has a relativly high mormon population that could help romney i think the black people and latinos in the area will balance that out for Obama) however New Hampshire could go for Romney since gore lost it and Obama only won it by about 9% last time (Also Romney was a governor of a neighboring state which gives him some local apeal)